In nature, the fundamental characteristic of any complex system is its ergodicity — the positions or states of its variables are not static but evolve over time, exploring all possible states. This dynamic movement ensures resilience and adaptability, allowing the system to thrive in changing environments.

However, when it comes to careers, we often adopt a linear, static mindset. We create rigid, ordained plans that prescribe a fixed sequence of steps to achieve “success.” This approach, while comforting in its predictability, fails to account for the inherent complexity and dynamism of real-world systems — including careers.

The Problem with Linear Career Planning

1. Fragility of Static Positions:
   • Linear career plans assume stability and predictability, focusing on moving up a predefined ladder or mastering a singular skill. This creates fragility, as the individual becomes overly specialized and unable to adapt to disruptions (e.g., automation, market shifts, or personal changes).
2. Neglecting the System’s Dynamics:
   • Careers are complex systems influenced by countless variables: technology, economy, networks, personal growth, and even random events. Failing to recognize this complexity leads to career stagnation when the system’s dynamics change.
3. Ignoring Antifragility:
   • Taleb’s concept of antifragility suggests that systems should not just withstand shocks but thrive in volatility and uncertainty. A career built on linear planning is fragile, as it resists change rather than leveraging it to grow stronger.

An Antifragile Approach to Career Building

1. Exploring All Possible States:
   • Just as an ergodic system moves through all accessible states over time, careers should encourage individuals to explore diverse roles, industries, and skill sets. This adaptability builds resilience and broadens opportunities.
2. Dynamic, Non-Linear Growth:
   • Instead of aiming for a straight line of promotions or specific milestones, embrace non-linear paths. Transitioning between different domains, taking on varied roles, or even pivoting entirely can lead to unexpected and transformative growth.
3. Leveraging Volatility:
   • Careers should be designed to thrive on uncertainty. This might involve taking calculated risks, such as learning emerging skills, engaging in collaborative projects, or experimenting with entrepreneurial ventures.

Practical Steps to Build an Antifragile Career

1. Adopt a Systems Thinking Mindset:
   • Understand your career as a complex, dynamic system with interconnected variables. Regularly reassess your goals and adapt to external changes.
2. Prioritize Learning Agility:
   • Invest in skills that enable rapid adaptation, such as problem-solving, digital fluency, and emotional intelligence, rather than focusing solely on technical or domain-specific expertise.
3. Build a Portfolio Career:
   • Diversify your career by engaging in multiple roles or projects simultaneously (e.g., freelancing, consulting, volunteering). This reduces dependency on a single income source or skill set.
4. Create Optionality:
   • Develop skills and relationships that open doors to multiple opportunities. This reduces the risk of being “locked in” to a single career trajectory.
5. Redefine Success:
   • Move away from traditional metrics (e.g., titles, salaries) and focus on adaptability, fulfillment, and long-term growth.